The Wall Street Journal Charles Landow The Wall Street Journal Charles Landow

The ‘Soft Landing’ Could Easily Turn Hard

By Robert E. Rubin

I discussed the equity market outlook for 2024 with several fellow advisers to an investment fund a few weeks ago. They were optimistic about the prospects of the U.S. economy achieving a soft landing. Like many Wall Street economists I speak to, they based their view on a conventional analysis of a range of economic factors, from Federal Reserve policy to consumer spending. I think the outlook is more complicated.

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